Wednesday 7 November 2007

Technology and man are one in the same!

The long term trends for the future of technology

• A drift towards specialisation (e.g. ever increasing variations of products for more specific tasks)

• Diversity: The average household today has 6 thousand different ‘species of technology’. Henry the 8th only had about 7 thousand items in his house hold, and that was the entire wealth of England at that time.

• Complexity: more and more often, machines are making more complex machines to make more complex machines

• Socialisation: more and more devices and technologies are talking to each other.

Very similar to the long term trends of biology and more importantly humanity.

• Ubiquity
• Diversity
• Specialisation
• Complexity
• Socialisation

You could track the development of military armour or weapons and it would follow a Holistic tree (technology tree)
It took almost 15 years to map human DNA, but 2/3’s of all the research was done in the last 2 or 3 years. Once the development of something reaches a certain point it explodes. Its called the paradigm shift rate. Its the rate of which new ideas are adopted. The rate of which we adopt new ideas is doubling every decade.

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